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Small Time Deposits vs. Large Time Deposits


Click to enlarge.

Small time deposits have become an endangered species.

There was a temporary exponential trend failure (seen in the break from the blue line) heading into the Great Recession, but we're apparently getting back on trend soon (using the new red line).

Giant Sucking Sound

The phrase, coined during the 1992 U.S. presidential campaign, referred to the sound of U.S. jobs heading south for Mexico should the proposed free-trade agreement go into effect.

North American Free Trade Agreement

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) is an agreement signed by Canada, Mexico, and the United States, creating a trilateral trade bloc in North America. The agreement came into force on January 1, 1994.


Click to enlarge.

Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: Custom Chart
St. Louis Fed: Trade Balance: Goods and Services, Balance of Payments Basis

Imports: China vs. Mexico


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It looks to me like China's competitive advantage relative to Mexico has peaked. It happened during the Great Recession and we're well below that point now. I can't say with any certainty if the peak is permanent or simply temporary. I am willing to call it an exponential trend failure though.

In any event, I wonder what the savvy Chinese have to say about that?

Source Data:
St. Louis Fed: Custom Chart