The following chart shows real annualized private office construction spending per capita (October 2013 dollars).Click to enlarge.Correction:I originally posted that this was real monthly private construction spending per capita. The data is monthly but it is a seasonally adjusted annual rate. The chart remains the same, only the description changes.Source Data:St. Louis Fed: Custom Cha...
Tampilkan postingan dengan label my personal blunders. Tampilkan semua postingan
Tampilkan postingan dengan label my personal blunders. Tampilkan semua postingan
Our Economic Rocket Requires More Industrial Lifeblood (Musical Tribute)
The following chart shows the 6-month moving average of the monthly commercial and industrial loan growth at all commercial banks.Click to enlarge.April 14, 2009FRB: Speech--Bernanke, Four Questions about the Financial CrisisCredit is the lifeblood of market economies...Update:I originally posted that this chart was showing the annual change. It is showing the monthly change. Sorry about that! The conclusions and the...
The Signs of Recovery
The following chart shows the 12-month moving average of annualized production and nonsupervisory sign (durable goods) employee minutes worked per capita.Click to enlarge.New businesses need signs. Right?The signs aren't looking so good, both short-term and long-term.Update:After further review, I noticed that the chart's data was per capita and not per 1,000 people. That's been fixed.Source Data:BLS: EmploymentSt....
Investment Advice Insanity
The following chart shows the 12-month moving average of annualized production and nonsupervisory investment advice employee minutes worked per capita.Click to enlarge.As seen in the long-term trend, the "expert" advice is spewing exponentially. It's as if the floodgates have been opened. That said, it looks like we're starting to run out of greater fools again though. Oh oh.The next chart shows the 12-month moving...
Household Median Income: Optimism vs. Pessimism
For the Optimists:Click to enlarge.It's a sure thing! Can't lose!For the Pessimists:Click to enlarge.It's a sure thing! Can't win!I sure wish there was a way to break the tie between the optimists and the pessimists. I could probably start by pointing out that the optimists have at least one thing wrong. Constant growth really should be using an exponential trend and not just a linear one. Here's the problem with a...
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