Click to enlarge.
August 1, 2013
Fertility forecast: Baby bust is over; births will rise
The total fertility rate in the USA is predicted to rise from a 25-year low of 1.89 children per woman in 2012 to 1.90 in 2013, according to the U.S. Fertility Forecast report released today by Demographic Intelligence.
1.89 to 1.90! Color me impressed! A few more years of that and we might even make it back to the declining long-term trend line. As a side note, it takes a rate of 2.1 to maintain a stable population. Otherwise, immigration for the win! It's the land of the free. What could possibly go wrong?
Among women aged 15-44, those who attend religious services weekly or more have 1.42 children, compared with the 1.11 children of women who rarely or never attend.
Women who attend religious services weekly intend to have 2.62 children, and those who rarely or never go want to have 2.10 children.
Women who attend religious services weekly intend to have 2.62 children, and those who rarely or never go want to have 2.10 children.
The following chart shows real annual religious construction spending per capita (August 2013 dollars).
Click to enlarge.
I'll leave the trend line as an exercise for the reader. Got crayon?
I'm not a religious person but I can say this. Over the long-term, we appear to be ZIRPing to Japanese hell in a handbasket. The future's so bright I gotta buy glasses.
Source Data:
Demographics of the United States
St. Louis Fed: Custom Chart
0 Response to "Total Fertility Rate"
Posting Komentar